Resultados para: philips tetlock

A New York Times BestsellerAn Economist Best Book of 2015'The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.'—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future,...

Summary of Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner | Includes Analysis Preview:Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a nonfiction book about theaccuracy of forecasting. It recounts the efforts of Philip E. Tetlock, a...

What if we could improve our ability to predict the future?Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by...